Posted Sep 16, 2006 at 01:21AM by Alaric S. Listed in: Weather Tags: NOAA, Indonesia, hurricane, Pacific Ocean, El Nino
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el nino


El Nino, the Dennis the Menace of weather systems, has started to develop in the tropical Pacific and is likely to continue into early 2007 according to scientists. But scientists at the National Weather Service in Monterrey, Ca. say, "Worry about something else."

The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), the main U.S. agency in charge of forecasting and tracking the El Nino phenomenon, says weak conditions exist but could strengthen into a moderate event by winter. At its worst, the phenomenon was described as akin to a low-grade fever and should not cause any major upheavals.

In fact, the development of El Ni?ould help explain why the current Atlantic hurricane season has not been as active as expected. Early this week, Hurricane Gordon was downgraded to a Category 1 - one of the early effects of El Nino.

If El Nino continues to hold, scientists say the U.S. should expect wetter-than-average conditions over portions of the Gulf Coast and southeastern states in the first three months of 2007. While the West, the northern Great Plains, and the upper Midwest could experience warmer-than-average conditions.

Elsewhere, El Nino effects have already been observed in Indonesia, Malaysia and most of the Philippines with drier-than-average conditions.


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